Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao·2025-11-26 06:57Core Viewpoint - The market response to NIO's latest financial report has been pessimistic despite the company's claims of delivering a strong performance, with stock prices declining significantly after the report was released [2][3]. Financial Performance - NIO reported a revenue of 21.79 billion yuan for the third quarter, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.7% [3]. - The gross profit for the quarter was 3.0246 billion yuan, resulting in a gross margin of 13.9% [3]. - The net loss for the quarter was 3.4805 billion yuan, contributing to a total loss exceeding 15 billion yuan for the year [3]. Future Guidance - NIO expects fourth-quarter deliveries to be between 120,000 and 125,000 units, a reduction of nearly 20% from previous guidance [3]. - Despite lowering the performance forecast, NIO's chairman remains optimistic about achieving profitability in the fourth quarter, citing strong orders for the new ES8 model [3]. Analyst Opinions - Analysts from CMB International expressed caution, noting that while NIO's gross margin exceeded expectations, the weak sales guidance for the fourth quarter suggests continued net losses [4]. - CMB International raised its forecast for NIO's fourth-quarter gross margin to 17.1% but still anticipates a net loss of 1.6 billion yuan under GAAP [4]. Market Competition - There is a divergence in expectations for next year, with NIO's chairman projecting a gross margin increase to around 20% due to new vehicle launches and cost control measures [5]. - CMB International, however, highlighted that achieving strong sales in a competitive market is crucial for maintaining profitability, as many Chinese manufacturers struggle to sustain a 20% gross margin [6].