Group 1 - The UK Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has provided a more optimistic forecast for the UK economy, estimating a fiscal surplus of nearly £22 billion over the next five years, significantly higher than previous estimates [1] - The budget proposal includes measures such as extending the freeze on personal tax thresholds for three years, increasing taxes on dividends, property, and savings, and introducing new taxes on properties valued over £2 million [1] - The OBR has adjusted the GDP growth forecast for the UK to 1.5% for 2025, while lowering the 2026 forecast to 1.4%, indicating ongoing structural challenges that may limit long-term growth potential [1] Group 2 - The UK's actual inflation rate remains high at 3.6%, which is significantly above the target level, influencing the Bank of England's cautious stance on monetary policy [2] - Despite an expanded fiscal space, structural contradictions leading to a downward adjustment in trend growth rates pose long-term growth concerns for the UK economy [2]
英国财政空间超预期 英镑兑美元升破1.32
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-11-26 14:19