Why Deere Stock Dropped Today

Core Viewpoint - Deere & Co. reported better-than-expected earnings and sales for Q4 2025, but the stock fell 4% due to weaker guidance for 2026, leading to investor disappointment [1][6]. Financial Performance - For Q4 2025, Deere earned $3.93 per share, exceeding the forecast of $3.83, and reported sales of $12.9 billion, which was 32% higher than the expected $9.8 billion [1]. - Year-over-year earnings declined by 14%, despite an 11% increase in sales [3]. - For the full year, Deere's earnings were $18.50 per share, a 28% decline, with total sales down 12% to $45.7 billion [3]. Future Outlook - Deere provided a cautious outlook for 2026, predicting a potential 20% decline in "large ag" sales, while other segments may see low-to-mid single-digit growth [4]. - The company anticipates earnings of less than $17.60 per share in fiscal 2026, which is below Wall Street's expectation of $19.32 per share [4][6]. - CEO John May indicated that 2026 might mark the bottom of the large ag cycle, with expectations for improvement thereafter [5]. Market Reaction - Despite beating earnings and sales expectations, the stock selloff was driven by the disappointing guidance for 2026 and a high valuation of 27 times earnings [6].