市场探“涨”最多涨3000元/吨!电解液多成分都涨了
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-11-27 03:12

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in prices of various chemical and industrial products, particularly lithium battery materials, indicates a recovery in the market and raises questions about the sustainability of this price increase and its impact on the performance of upstream and downstream companies in the industry [1]. Price Trends in Electrolyte Industry - Prices of key lithium battery electrolyte components have risen significantly, with the price of vinyl carbonate (VC) increasing by 3,000 CNY/ton to an average of 168,000 CNY/ton, and lithium hexafluorophosphate (LiPF6) reaching 163,000 CNY/ton after a rise of 2,500 CNY/ton [2]. - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate increased by 1.03%, while industrial-grade lithium carbonate rose by 750 CNY/ton [2]. - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate has more than doubled from 49,800 CNY/ton on July 18 to its current level [2]. Market Performance and Stock Movements - The A-share lithium battery sector has seen an overall increase of 26.63% since July 18, with several stocks doubling in price, such as Tianqi Materials and Huasheng Lithium [2]. - Tianqi Materials' stock price rose from 19.33 CNY/share to 39.57 CNY/share, while Huasheng Lithium's price increased from 34.15 CNY/share to 100.28 CNY/share during the same period [2]. Demand Drivers and Future Outlook - The growth in demand for lithium battery materials is primarily driven by unexpected increases in energy storage needs, as indicated by recent global tender data [2]. - Companies like Huasheng Lithium and Fuxiang Pharmaceutical expect sustained growth in demand for electrolyte additives due to the ongoing expansion of the power battery and energy storage sectors [3]. - Analysts from CITIC Securities and Guojin Securities highlight the potential for significant profit transfer from downstream to upstream segments in the lithium battery supply chain, driven by increasing demand [3]. Production Capacity Expansion - Several companies are preparing to increase production capacity in response to rising prices, with Shenzhen Xinxing planning to complete a 7,200-ton capacity for lithium hexafluorophosphate by mid-2024 [6]. - Jinshi Resources is investing in a project to produce 15,000 tons of lithium hexafluorophosphate, with upgrades expected to be completed by mid-next year [6]. - Fuxiang Pharmaceutical aims to increase VC production capacity to 10,000 tons/year by Q2 2026, with plans to further expand based on market demand [6]. Company Perspectives on Price Trends - New Zobang anticipates that prices for lithium battery electrolytes will remain within a range that supports reasonable profit margins and ongoing R&D investments [4]. - Tianqi Materials emphasizes the importance of orderly production expansion and reasonable profit as core directions for the industry moving forward [5].