Group 1: Market Overview - In October, global financial markets experienced increased volatility due to multiple uncertainties, leading to heightened risk aversion among investors [1] - The average daily trading volume in China's interbank foreign exchange market reached $205.18 billion, showing a month-on-month increase of 6.72% and a year-on-year slight decline of 0.30% [2][3] Group 2: RMB Exchange Rate Trends - The RMB exchange rate rose to a new high for the year in early October but subsequently experienced fluctuations, with the lowest point reaching 7.1433 against the USD [2] - By the end of October, the onshore RMB exchange rate closed at 7.1135, appreciating by 0.07% compared to September [2] Group 3: Foreign Exchange Market Activity - The average daily trading volume for RMB in the foreign exchange market was $152.54 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 5.72% but a month-on-month increase of 6.30% [2] - The foreign exchange market showed active trading in foreign currencies and foreign currency lending, with month-on-month increases exceeding 6% [2] Group 4: RMB Options Trading - RMB foreign exchange options trading remained stable in October, with an average daily transaction volume of $5.23 billion, marking a month-on-month decrease of 9.07% [3] - The implied volatility for RMB/USD options remained low, indicating stable market expectations for short-term RMB exchange rate movements [3] Group 5: Domestic and Offshore Exchange Rate Differences - The domestic foreign exchange differential gradually converged and turned positive by the end of October, with the average daily differential being -29 basis points [4] - As of October 20, the average daily net purchase of foreign exchange by institutions was $1.18 billion, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards net selling by the end of the month [4] Group 6: Market Sentiment and Behavior - The market's herd effect index in October was 61.89, slightly down from September, indicating a weaker herd effect compared to the historical average [5] Group 7: Swap Points and Interest Rate Differentials - Long-term swap points reached a nearly three-year high in October, driven by strong market buying pressure [6][7] - The one-year swap points at the end of October were -1287 basis points, an increase of 35 basis points from September, reflecting ongoing strong buying pressure in the swap market [7]
银行间外汇市场交投总量平稳 日均成交量环比持续上升
Jin Rong Shi Bao·2025-11-27 03:33