Core Viewpoint - The hydrogen energy sector is accelerating globally, with China enhancing its strategic layout as hydrogen energy is included in the central government's five-year planning recommendations [2][3] Group 1: Hydrogen Energy Policy and Market Dynamics - Various countries are developing comprehensive hydrogen energy policy frameworks, and international trade cooperation is advancing [2] - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, expanding non-electric applications of renewable energy and increasing hydrogen energy consumption are expected to be key focuses [2] - The construction of wind, solar, hydrogen, and methanol bases is expected to alleviate critical supply-demand bottlenecks in the hydrogen energy sector [2] Group 2: Hydrogen Production and Consumption - The hydrogen production chain is primarily dominated by fossil fuel-based hydrogen, while electrolysis projects are increasing in China [3] - In 2024, China's electrolysis water hydrogen production is projected to reach approximately 320,000 tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 3.6% [3] - Synthetic methanol and ammonia account for the largest shares of hydrogen consumption, at 27% and 26% respectively [3] Group 3: Electrolyzer Demand and Market Competition - The demand for electrolyzers is expected to grow rapidly, with a projected public tender demand of over 2,369 MW for electrolysis water equipment in China in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 39.7% [4] - Alkaline and PEM electrolyzers are anticipated to dominate the market, with alkaline electrolyzers' demand increasing from 95.5% in 2023 to 98.6% in 2024 [4] - Global electrolyzer capacity is expected to grow significantly, with China's share exceeding 50% of the total installed capacity by the end of 2024 [4] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Companies with cost advantages in electrolyzers and green methanol production are recommended for investment, including Longi Green Energy and Sungrow Power Supply [5] - Other companies to watch include Huaguang Huaneng, China Huadian Corporation, and Shuangliang Eco-Energy [5] - For green methanol, recommended companies include Goldwind Technology, with additional attention to Jiazhe New Energy and Jidian Co., Ltd. [5]
广发证券:氢能新产业周期开启 制氢与氢能消纳环节有望核心受益