PVH Corp. Set to Report Pre-Q3 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?

Core Insights - PVH Corporation is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with revenues projected at $2.3 billion, reflecting a growth of 0.6% from the previous year. However, earnings per share are estimated to decline by 15.5% year over year to $2.56 [1][8]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PVH's fiscal third-quarter earnings has remained unchanged at $2.56 per share, indicating a significant decline compared to the previous year [1]. - In the last reported quarter, PVH delivered an earnings surprise of 27.92%, with an average trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 12.30% [2]. Factors Impacting Earnings - PVH is facing a challenging operating environment, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region, with weak consumer sentiment in China impacting performance [3]. - The company is experiencing gross margin pressure due to a promotional retail environment, increased costs, and delays in Calvin Klein products. A gross margin decline of approximately 175 basis points year over year is anticipated, with 80 basis points attributed to unmitigated tariff impacts [4]. Management Guidance - Management has projected that third-quarter fiscal 2025 sales will be flat to slightly up on a reported basis, but slightly down on a constant-currency basis. Adjusted earnings per share are expected to be between $2.35 and $2.50, down from $3.03 in the prior year [5]. - Interest expenses are expected to rise to $22 million, up from $16 million in the same quarter last year, due to financing costs related to accelerated share repurchase agreements [5]. Brand Performance and Market Position - Despite headwinds, PVH's diversified brand portfolio and the momentum from its PVH+ Plan provide offsets. The strength of Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger is evident in product innovation and improved direct-to-consumer trends [6]. - Positive forward-looking wholesale order books in Europe and improvements in North America direct-to-consumer traffic indicate strong underlying brand health [6]. Valuation Perspective - PVH shares are trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 7.44X, which is below the five-year median of 8.30X and the industry average of 16.11X, presenting an attractive investment opportunity [9]. Market Movements - PVH's shares have gained 1.1% over the past three months, contrasting with a 7.6% decline in the industry [10].