世界铂金投资协会邓伟斌：“中国价格”影响力提升 铂族金属定价体系更丰富

Core Insights - The listing of platinum and palladium futures and options on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange signifies the emergence of new financial derivatives in China and serves as a beneficial supplement to the global platinum and palladium investment market [2][6] - The introduction of these contracts is expected to enhance China's influence in platinum group metal pricing and enrich the pricing system for these metals [2][8] Industry Implications - The listing addresses the lack of authoritative hedging channels in the domestic market, allowing companies to better manage price volatility risks associated with platinum and palladium [3][4] - The innovative inclusion of sponge form in the delivery range of contracts aligns with the actual usage habits of end-users, thereby enhancing the service of futures to the real economy [4][5] Market Dynamics - China is the largest consumer of platinum and palladium, accounting for over 30% of global demand, while domestic production is limited, leading to a heavy reliance on imports [5][8] - The global supply of platinum and palladium is primarily concentrated in South Africa and Russia, which together account for over 80% of platinum and 70% of palladium supply [5][6] Price Trends - Platinum prices have surged significantly in 2023, with New York Mercantile Exchange futures up approximately 80% and Shanghai Gold Exchange spot prices up over 92% year-to-date [7] - Future price forecasts suggest an upward trend, with expected annual increases of 10% to 15% due to persistent supply shortages and robust industrial demand [7][8] Future Outlook - The global platinum market is projected to see a narrowing supply gap by 2025, with expectations of a slight surplus by 2026, influenced by improved recovery supply and a decrease in demand primarily from the investment sector [8] - The listing of futures and options is anticipated to bolster the development of the precious metals industry in the Pearl River Delta region and nationwide [8]