中信证券2026年具身智能机器人产业重点方向展望:短期扰动不改长期产业进程 国产链应重点关注整机厂
智通财经网·2025-11-28 00:49

Core Insights - The commercialization of embodied intelligence is expected to reach a critical milestone in 2025, with major manufacturers securing billion-level orders [1][3] - The industry is projected to exceed a total market capitalization of 3 trillion yuan by October 2025, with significant contributions from the machinery, automotive, and electronics sectors [2] - The development of embodied intelligence models relies heavily on the scale effects of data and computing power [6] Industry Progress by 2025 - Major manufacturers have secured orders exceeding 1 billion yuan, with applications primarily in research, education, cultural entertainment, and data collection [3] - Companies like UBTECH and ZhiYuan Robotics have received over 800 million yuan and 520 million yuan in orders, respectively [3] - The supply chain is becoming clearer as manufacturers prepare for mass production, with Chinese suppliers establishing production bases in Thailand to support Tesla's 2026 production plans [3] Key Directions for 2026 - Tesla is expected to launch the Optimus V3 in Q1 2026, with a target of delivering 1 million humanoid robots, supported by a significant compensation incentive for Elon Musk [5] - The Hong Kong stock market is emerging as a hub for new players in the industry, with companies like UBTECH and Yuejiang listing to attract capital [5] - The fundamental breakthroughs in embodied intelligence models will depend on the scale of data and computing resources available [6]