智通财经网·2025-11-28 02:03Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is expected to enter a sustained capacity clearing cycle by 2026, leading to an optimized competitive landscape and improved performance for existing photovoltaic companies. Public funds currently have low allocations in the photovoltaic sector, but low valuations and improved supply-demand dynamics are likely to attract more capital [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Trends - In 2025, the transition to market-oriented trading policies for renewable energy will lead to a phase of increased installations in the photovoltaic sector. In the first three quarters, China added a cumulative 240.27 GW of photovoltaic capacity, a year-on-year increase of 64.73%, indicating strong growth. However, demand is expected to stabilize after the installation rush, with traditional markets in Europe and the U.S. showing weak growth while Asia-Pacific and Africa exhibit strong energy demand [2][3]. - The capacity of the grid to absorb and support photovoltaic installations is a critical factor for industry development. The reliance on large-scale centralized power plants is expected to continue, while policies affecting the revenue models of these plants will have significant long-term impacts [3]. Group 2: Subsector Insights - Energy Storage Inverters: The global energy storage market is on the rise, benefiting inverter manufacturers. The demand for energy storage systems is expected to grow rapidly due to increased photovoltaic installations, flexibility requirements in power systems, and advancements in storage technology. By the end of 2027, new energy storage installations are projected to exceed 180 million kW, with over 100 million kW added in three years [4]. - Polysilicon: The polysilicon sector is undergoing a transformation with stricter energy consumption standards. Leading companies are forming merger funds to consolidate weaker capacities, which is expected to drive industry capacity reduction. Polysilicon prices are beginning to recover, crossing the breakeven point for leading firms [5]. - Photovoltaic Glass: The photovoltaic glass industry is entering a phase of capacity optimization and market clearing. Smaller production lines are exiting the market due to cost disadvantages, while larger lines are cautiously resuming operations. Demand growth for photovoltaic glass is expected to slow down, with thin and multifunctional products emerging as new growth points [6]. - Integrated Component Manufacturers: The competitive landscape for integrated component manufacturers is stabilizing, with significant reductions in capital expenditures. The supply contraction is expected to effectively reduce industry supply. These manufacturers are also extending their business into the energy storage sector, focusing on commercial and large-scale storage projects [7].