美元承压叠降息押注纸黄金偏强

Group 1 - The current trading price of paper gold is around 953.43 yuan per gram, with a daily increase of 0.77% [1] - The highest price reached today is 954.41 yuan per gram, while the lowest was 944.71 yuan per gram, indicating a short-term bullish trend for paper gold [1] Group 2 - Market expectations for a rate cut have increased, with the probability of a December rate cut now at 87%, up from 85% the previous day [2] - This expectation is influenced by comments from San Francisco Fed President Daly and Fed Governor Waller, who hinted at the possibility of easing policies [2] - However, there is no consensus within the Federal Reserve, as some regional Fed presidents argue against rate cuts until inflation stabilizes at the 2% target [2] - Former White House economic advisor Hassett is a leading candidate to replace Powell as Fed Chair, which adds uncertainty to future policy directions [2] - The dollar index is under pressure and is expected to record its largest weekly decline in four months, reflecting widespread expectations for further global monetary easing [2] Group 3 - Key resistance levels for paper gold are identified between 950 yuan per gram and 980 yuan per gram, while important support levels are between 940 yuan per gram and 960 yuan per gram [2]