“沉默黑马”爆发！白银从跟跑者变领涨王

Core Viewpoint - The silver market is experiencing a significant surge driven by strong demand from the photovoltaic industry and a structural supply gap, marking the beginning of a "silver storm" fueled by green energy [1][2]. Group 1: Price Movement and Historical Context - As of November 28, 2023, spot silver prices rose by 1.00% to $53.90 per ounce, marking four consecutive days of gains [1]. - Since October 3, 2023, silver has increased by 163% from a low of $20.67 per ounce, reaching a historical high of $54.38 per ounce on November 13, 2023 [2]. - In comparison, gold prices rose by 142% during the same period, from $1,813.90 per ounce to a peak of $4,381.21 per ounce [2]. Group 2: Industrial Demand and Supply Dynamics - Industrial demand for silver is projected to increase from 644 million ounces in 2023 to 689.1 million ounces in 2024, with silver usage in solar panels rising from 191.8 million ounces to 243.7 million ounces, a 158% increase from 2020 [4]. - The global solar power capacity is expected to add approximately 600 gigawatts (GW) in 2024, with projections of nearly 1,000 GW by 2030 [5]. - The International Energy Agency anticipates an addition of 4,000 GW of solar power capacity from 2024 to 2030, potentially increasing silver demand by nearly 150 million ounces annually, representing a 13% increase on top of the 1.169 billion ounces of physical demand expected in 2024 [6]. Group 3: Market Gap and Future Outlook - The silver market is projected to have a gap of 501.4 million ounces in 2024, significantly larger than the 19.4 million ounces gap in 2023 [7]. - Current spot silver prices reflect a daily increase of 0.84%, with COMEX silver futures up by 1.38% [7].