暴跌95%！裁员10%！这家mRNA巨头的断臂、贷款与豪赌

Core Insights - Moderna has announced a three-year strategic plan aiming for cash flow balance by 2028, focusing on oncology for new growth opportunities [1][5]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, Moderna reported revenue of $1 billion, a 45% decline compared to the same period in 2023, with a net loss of $200 million [3]. - The revenue from COVID-19 vaccines accounted for $971 million, while the recently approved RSV vaccine contributed only $2 million [3]. - The company has revised its 2025 revenue guidance down to $1.6 billion to $2 billion, reducing the upper limit by $200 million [3]. Stock Performance - Moderna's stock has plummeted over 95% from its peak of $484.47 in 2021, with a market cap dropping to approximately $9 billion by November 2025 [4]. Cost Management and Restructuring - To address losses, Moderna has reduced cash cost expectations for 2026 and 2027 to approximately $4.2 billion and $3.5 billion to $3.9 billion, respectively [5]. - The company has implemented a 10% workforce reduction and terminated four projects to streamline operations [5]. Vaccine Development Focus - Moderna plans to continue expanding its vaccine portfolio over the next three years, introducing three new seasonal vaccines: flu, COVID/flu combination, and norovirus vaccines [5]. - The company aims to leverage its experience from COVID-19 vaccine sales to promote other seasonal vaccines [9]. Oncology Pipeline - Long-term, Moderna is shifting its R&D focus towards oncology, with plans to invest more in this area post-2028 [10]. - The oncology pipeline includes personalized cancer vaccines, cancer antigen therapies, TCE therapies, and cell therapies [11]. Key Oncology Projects - mRNA-4157, a personalized mRNA cancer vaccine, has shown promising results in clinical trials, reducing the risk of recurrence and death in melanoma patients by 49% when combined with pembrolizumab [13]. - Moderna is preparing for the commercial production of mRNA-4157 at a dedicated facility in Massachusetts [13]. Conclusion - Moderna is navigating a challenging transition period, focusing on cost management and strategic realignment towards oncology to achieve cash flow balance and long-term growth [14].