华宝基金：泛科技板块底部相对探明

Group 1 - The technology sector has undergone a month and a half of adjustments, with expectations that a bottom may be reached around mid to late November [1] - The low point of the bottom sector is becoming clearer, prompting attention towards broad technology ETF products [1] - There is ongoing debate about whether high-positioned sectors may face further declines, while the next core direction for growth remains uncertain, with opportunities primarily in low-positioned varieties [1] Group 2 - A review of the A-share and US stock markets post-November 12 indicates a broad decline in major tech stocks like Nvidia, Tesla, and Kioxia, influenced by reduced expectations for a December interest rate cut [2] - The A-share technology sector is experiencing a "top sector contraction" while bottom sectors are facing overselling, with strong fundamental companies like Zhongji Xuchuang being deeply supported [2] - Weak sectors such as robotics and edge chips have entered a continuous oversold phase, indicating a risk-averse sell-off by investors [2] Group 3 - The current situation in the technology sector suggests that short-term rebounds are primarily driven by liquidity rather than clear industry logic, indicating a general rebound without a defined sector focus [3] - High-positioned stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang have not seen significant declines, while low-positioned sectors such as edge chips and domestic robotics have returned to early May levels, indicating deep adjustments [3] Group 4 - The combination of Google's large model and chips is strong, but significant short-term price increases for companies with nearly $4 trillion in market value may be challenging [4] - The performance of Google's v6p chip is weaker in cost-effectiveness compared to Nvidia's B200, suggesting that the potential disruption of Nvidia by Google's TPU is not yet fully realized [4] - The competition surrounding TPUs and Nvidia is expected to continue into the first half of 2026, requiring ongoing observation [4] Group 5 - The current ETF allocation strategy suggests that with the US stock market showing signs of a significant rebound, the broad technology ETF configuration has value [5] - The focus should be on ETFs with a certain safety margin, including the Huabao AI ETF and various Hong Kong technology ETFs, as the market has reached a favorable entry point for "buying the dip" [5] - Specific ETFs recommended for attention include the Huabao AI ETF, Hong Kong Information Technology ETF, Financial Technology ETF, and others, indicating a strategic approach to sector allocation [5]