黄奇帆最新演讲：“20年后，格局将发生根本转变”

Core Viewpoint - The "Belt and Road" initiative serves as a dual strategic measure for China's internal and external development, aiming to reduce regional disparities and promote coordinated opening and development across the country [1]. Group 1: Economic Structure and Development - The past 300 years of global economic dominance by maritime economies have led to prosperity in China's coastal regions while leaving inland areas relatively underdeveloped [5]. - The "Belt and Road" initiative addresses this imbalance by promoting both maritime and land trade, thereby integrating Asia and Eurasia through a network of rail and road connections [6]. - The initiative is not only about external opening but also about fostering internal regional coordination and development [6]. Group 2: Infrastructure Development - Major airports in central and western China, including those in Zhengzhou, Xi'an, Chengdu, and Chongqing, have achieved significant infrastructure advancements, capable of handling between 50 million to 100 million passengers annually [7]. - These airports are positioned as regional hubs, contributing to urban economic growth and industrial clustering, particularly in high-value industries like integrated circuits and electronics [7]. Group 3: Trade and Economic Value - The development of service trade is crucial for China to become a trade powerhouse, with current service trade accounting for only 14% of total trade, compared to a global average of 25% [8]. - Service trade, particularly in aviation, generates significantly higher GDP value compared to goods trade, with $1 trillion in service trade yielding over $700 billion in GDP, while the same amount in goods trade only produces around $200 billion [9]. - The future development of the four major airports in central and western China should draw lessons from the successful airport cluster in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [9]. Group 4: Future Trade Dynamics - A significant shift in trade dynamics is anticipated, with projections indicating that in 20 years, half of the trade volume between Europe and Asia will be transported via inland rail or road, while the other half will continue to rely on maritime routes [11]. - This transformation is expected to stimulate the growth of inland trade, finance, and port economies, ultimately achieving a coordinated development pattern across China's regions [12].