Oil prices expected to fall in 2026 as Wall Street sees 'punishing oversupply' risking return to COVID levels

Commodities strategists at Wall Street's top investment banks expect 2026 and 2027 to be tough years for the oil industry. And that's after a nearly 20% decline in oil prices this year. Under a base case set by JPMorgan's commodities team led by Natasha Kaneva, Brent crude oil (BZ=F) — the international benchmark price — will fall to $58 per barrel in 2026, with West Texas Intermediate crude oil (CL=F), the US benchmark, trading $4 below this level. In 2027, the firm sees prices falling by another $1 per ...