Why Some Experts Believe Gold Prices Could Reach $5,000 in 2026
Investopedia·2025-11-28 17:40

Core Viewpoint - The price of gold has surged 60% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming major stock indexes, and is expected to continue reaching record highs in the upcoming year [1][5]. Price Forecasts - Analysts from several Wall Street firms predict that gold prices will rise further, with some forecasting a potential price of $5,000 per troy ounce by 2026, indicating an upside of approximately 20% [2]. - Goldman Sachs reported that nearly 70% of institutional investors anticipate rising gold prices, with 36% believing it will exceed $5,000 by the end of 2026 [4]. - Deutsche Bank has raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $4,450 from $4,000, projecting a range of $3,950 to $4,950 [6]. Market Dynamics - The current economic and geopolitical uncertainties are driving demand for gold, with many prominent investors recommending increased allocations to the precious metal [3]. - The weakness of the U.S. dollar, concerns over rising government debt, and geopolitical instability are contributing to gold's price support [6][8]. - Central banks' continued buying and fiscal concerns are cited as significant factors behind gold's price increase [4]. Supply and Demand - Third quarter supply-demand data indicates strong central bank demand, with inelastic demand from central banks and ETF investments diverting supply from the jewelry market [7]. - Overall growth in demand for gold is outpacing supply, reinforcing the bullish outlook for the metal [7].