Core Insights - The leading retailers for the holiday shopping season are Walmart, Costco, TJX, and Amazon, which have consistently gained market share over the years [2][4][11] - Specialty brands like GAP, Urban Outfitters, and Abercrombie can experience significant stock price increases when they perform well, but their market presence remains small compared to the giants [3][4] - The promotional environment has shifted, with consumers now more aware of value, leading to changes in shopping behavior and expectations [5][6] Retail Dynamics - Consumers perceive value differently, with Walmart focusing on everyday low prices and fewer promotions, while others adopt a high-low pricing strategy [5][6] - Black Friday remains a significant shopping day, although the urgency to shop in-store has diminished due to online availability [7][8] - Younger generations, particularly Gen Z and millennials, are driving foot traffic during Black Friday, indicating a shift towards experiential shopping [9] Market Trends - Emerging brands are gaining traction and may disrupt established players like Lululemon, but identifying sustainable long-term winners remains challenging [10][11] - The preference for established retailers like Walmart, TJX, Amazon, and Costco continues to grow, as evidenced by consumer behavior and shopping patterns [11][12]
Storch Advisors CEO Gerald Storch talks this holiday shopping season's winners and losers