What the charts show about investing going into 2026, top holiday toy shopping trends

Market Overview - Major markets have seen gains for five consecutive days, with the Russell 2000 also performing well, indicating a potential continuation of winning streaks for several months [2] - The Dow Jones and S&P 500 have shown positive monthly performance, while the Nasdaq composite is down 1.5% for the month [4][5] - A sector rotation has occurred, moving from technology to healthcare, with materials and consumer staples also outperforming [4][5] Technology Sector Performance - The technology sector has underperformed in November, with notable declines in stocks like Nvidia down 12% month-to-date, while Alphabet has surged 13% [5][8] - Concerns about high valuations in the tech sector persist, with the market at the upper end of its long-term trend channel [10][11] Commodities and Crypto - Gold prices have reached $4,250 per ounce, nearing an all-time high, with a nearly 60% increase year-to-date [7] - Bitcoin has seen a significant decline of 14% in November, currently trading just below $91,000 [6] Consumer Spending Trends - Toy spending is projected to increase by 7% this year, with a third of consumers planning to purchase toys despite inflation concerns [29][30] - Retailers like Walmart and Target are expected to perform well, with Walmart focusing on budget-friendly options and Target seeing a nearly 10% increase in toy sales [38][41] Small Business Insights - Small businesses are expected to thrive during Small Business Saturday, with 86% of consumers planning to shop small this holiday season [43][44] - The importance of local businesses is emphasized, as they are seen as trusted sources for holiday shopping [45] Earnings and Economic Indicators - Upcoming earnings reports include Salesforce, with expectations of solid growth and a revenue boost from its acquisition of Informatica [60] - The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, PCE, is anticipated to remain steady, indicating stable consumer prices [61][62]