Analysts Slash Oracle’s (ORCL) Price Target After Backlog Linked Mostly to OpenAI

Core Viewpoint - Oracle Corporation is facing scrutiny due to its reliance on OpenAI for backlog growth, leading to concerns about inflated expectations and rising credit risks [1][2][3] Group 1: Backlog and Earnings Concerns - Analysts expressed concerns when it became clear that Oracle's backlog increase was primarily driven by OpenAI, contradicting Oracle's initial claims of multiple customers [2] - Following Oracle's earnings report on September 9, the backlog surge raised red flags, resulting in shares trading lower than before the earnings announcement [2] Group 2: Credit Risks and Market Sentiment - The significant commitment from OpenAI, valued at $300 billion, positioned Oracle as a perceived winner, but subsequent commitments from OpenAI indicated a lack of seriousness, raising concerns about Oracle's role [3] - The market is increasingly uneasy about Oracle's debt load, as indicated by rising credit default swaps (CDS), suggesting that the demand from OpenAI may not fully materialize [3] Group 3: Investment Perspective - While Oracle has potential as an investment, there are AI stocks that are viewed as having greater upside potential and lower downside risk [5]