投中信息杨晓磊：创投市场拐点已至

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the primary private equity market in China has reached a turning point, with optimism for the upcoming years, particularly 2026 [1] - The fundraising, investment, and exit sectors have all shown significant improvement, with new fund establishments and investment amounts increasing by 10% to 20% year-on-year, and exit scales growing by over 100% due to a recovery in the secondary market [2][3] - Long-term capital supply has notably increased, with "patient capital" from social security funds, insurance funds, and Asset Investment Companies (AIC) enhancing market liquidity, as evidenced by 99 AIC funds established since September 2024, totaling 198 billion yuan [3] Group 2 - Despite the increase in state-owned capital contributions, the scale of insurance capital investment has decreased year-on-year, as insurance capital has largely completed its primary market allocations and is adopting a more cautious investment strategy [3] - The performance realization degree in China's venture capital market is higher than that in the United States, with the cash return rate (DPI) reaching 1.0 in the seventh year being considered excellent [4][5] - The operation models of large state-owned funds align well with industry characteristics, making state capital a stable long-term funding source for the venture capital market [5]