Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-11-30 11:21Group 1: Core Insights - The 2025 Global Systemically Important Banks (G-SIBs) list has been released, with Chinese banks maintaining the same number of five institutions as the previous year, but with the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) moving up to the third group, becoming the first Chinese bank in this category [1][2] - The assessment framework for G-SIBs includes five weighted dimensions: size, interconnectedness, substitutability, complexity, and cross-border activity, with 13 secondary indicators used for a comprehensive evaluation [3] - Fitch Ratings noted that the scoring changes for Chinese G-SIBs this year are driven less by size and more by exchange rate effects, which have historically alleviated upward pressure on scores [3][4] Group 2: TLAC and Regulatory Requirements - Following the successful achievement of the first phase of Total Loss-Absorbing Capacity (TLAC) requirements, the pressure for the next phase remains a concern, with the issuance of TLAC non-capital bonds exceeding 300 billion yuan this year, totaling 540 billion yuan cumulatively [1][7] - The G-SIBs face higher core capital and TLAC regulatory requirements, with specific targets set for 2025 and 2028, including a TLAC risk-weighted ratio of at least 16% and 18% respectively [6][9] - As of Q1 2025, the four major banks have exceeded the minimum TLAC/RWA requirement of 20%, but the second phase compliance is still under scrutiny, with some banks needing additional capital to meet the requirements [7][9] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The issuance of TLAC non-capital bonds has been a significant tool for G-SIBs to meet their total loss-absorbing capacity requirements, with the major banks having issued multiple tranches since last year [7][8] - Fitch Ratings anticipates that while some banks can meet the next phase of TLAC requirements, others may need government capital injections to alleviate pressure on their total loss-absorbing capacity [9] - The report indicates that if risk-weighted asset growth remains stable, the major banks are likely to meet the upcoming TLAC requirements on schedule [9]