广发证券:“赚钱效应”最好的时间窗即将打开 2026年“春季躁动”值得期待
Ge Long Hui A P P·2025-11-30 14:56

Core Insights - The report from GF Securities indicates that the most unfavorable phase for institutions is about to pass, and a favorable "profit-making effect" window is expected to open soon [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The period from the Spring Festival to the Two Sessions is identified as a time with significant "profit-making effects," averaging around 20 trading days [1] - The likelihood of a "spring rally" increases when corporate earnings improve and there are no significant event shocks, especially with supportive liquidity [1] - The performance of the "spring rally" is significantly correlated with the overall market performance for the year, suggesting that current capital allocation should consider long-term strategies [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - December to January is highlighted as an optimal time for positioning in the market, particularly for sectors with favorable earnings forecasts [1] - Companies with poor earnings forecasts should be monitored until late January for better entry points [1] - Many sectors have already experienced an average adjustment of around 20%, reaching historical levels, making December a suitable time for gradual observation and potential investment [1]