医药板块，后续怎么走？

Core Insights - The pharmaceutical sector has experienced a slowdown in momentum after a strong rally earlier in the year, with the number of "doubling funds" significantly decreasing [1][2] - As of November 28, only two pharmaceutical-themed funds maintained over 100% returns, indicating a retreat from previous high performance [2] - The industry is currently in a transitional phase characterized by increased market speculation, despite a solid long-term growth outlook supported by policy reinforcement and improved cash flow [1][3] Fund Performance - As of November 28, the only two funds with over 100% returns are Zhongyin Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical A (up 107.69%) and Chuangjin Hexin Global Pharmaceutical Biotechnology A (up 100.32%) [2] - The average return of pharmaceutical-themed funds has retreated approximately 10% from their peak in September [2] - Major pharmaceutical ETFs have seen a decline in scale over the past three months, reflecting a shift from aggressive buying to a more cautious stance [2] Policy Environment - The policy landscape is expected to remain favorable for the pharmaceutical industry, with significant measures announced to support high-quality development [3][4] - Key policies include a comprehensive support framework for innovative drugs, scientific regulation, and standardized development of traditional Chinese medicine [3] - The upcoming negotiations for the national basic medical insurance directory are anticipated to enhance funding sources for the healthcare industry [3][4] Valuation and Market Dynamics - The pharmaceutical sector has been ranked low in relative performance over the past four years, indicating a potential for upward valuation adjustments [5][6] - The market is transitioning from short-term trading strategies to a focus on valuation recovery, with signs of performance improvement following the third-quarter earnings reports [5][6] - Positive catalysts are expected in the fourth quarter, including accelerated business development and improved cash flow for leading companies [6]