12月开局避险情绪弥漫 比特币跌超6%失守86,000美元

Market Overview - The cryptocurrency market experienced a significant downturn, reigniting a large-scale sell-off trend that had seemed to stabilize [1] - Bitcoin dropped over 6% during Asian trading, falling below $86,000, while Ethereum saw a decline of over 7%, reaching approximately $2,800 [1] - Most altcoins followed a similar trend, with Solana decreasing by 7.8% [1] Market Conditions - The cryptocurrency market has been unstable since early October, with a prolonged downtrend leading to the liquidation of approximately $19 billion in leveraged positions shortly after Bitcoin reached a historical high of $126,251 [4] - By November, Bitcoin's value had significantly decreased, with a drop of 16.7%, although it rebounded to above $90,000 last week due to reduced selling pressure [4] - Traders are preparing for further declines as a new wave of selling emerged [4] Key Indicators - Sean McNulty from FalconX noted a cautious outlook for December, highlighting minimal inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and a lack of buyers at lower prices, with a focus on the critical support level of $80,000 for Bitcoin [4] - Phong Le, CEO of Strategy, indicated that if the market value to Bitcoin holding ratio (mNAV) turns negative, the company may sell its Bitcoin holdings to pay dividends, with the current mNAV at 1.19 and holdings valued at $56 billion [4] Regulatory Environment - S&P Global Ratings downgraded the stability assessment of the largest stablecoin, USDT, to the lowest level, warning that a decline in Bitcoin prices could lead to insufficient collateral for the token [5] - The People's Bank of China issued a warning regarding the risks associated with virtual currencies, including stablecoins, emphasizing the need for government coordination to combat illegal activities, which adds to market uncertainty [5] Market Sentiment - Jeff Ko, Chief Analyst at CoinEx, attributed the pressure on the cryptocurrency market to a series of negative news, including the downgrade of USDT and the warning from the Chinese central bank [6] - Upcoming key economic data will provide insights into the short-term direction of the U.S. economy, influencing expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate adjustments [6]