Credit growth to rebound as IPO liquidity spent and working capital demand rises: SBI

Core Insights - The credit growth of banks in India is expected to rebound as companies increase their working capital utilization for day-to-day operations, following a temporary dip linked to IPO fundraising [1][2][5][7] Group 1: Credit Growth Trends - Recent credit offtake slowdown is seen as temporary, primarily due to the surge in IPO fundraising across various sectors [1][3] - Historical data indicates a modest negative correlation between IPO mobilization and overall bank credit growth, suggesting that higher IPO funds can lead to reduced immediate borrowing needs from banks [2][3] Group 2: Sectoral Analysis - Industries such as finance, automobiles, pharmaceuticals, telecom, consumer durables, and infrastructure have shown lower credit growth in years with higher IPO fundraising [3][4] - Companies typically utilize IPO funds for expansion, capital expenditure, or debt repayment, which reduces their immediate need for bank loans [4] Group 3: Economic Context - As business activity remains strong and production levels rise, firms are expected to seek more financing for operational expenses, leading to increased demand for bank loans [5] - The overall economic momentum in India, supported by strong GDP numbers, is anticipated to drive higher funding needs among companies [5] Group 4: Role of the Reserve Bank of India - The Reserve Bank of India is expected to play a crucial role in maintaining proactive liquidity management to support the anticipated rise in credit demand [6] - Adequate liquidity in the banking system is essential for stable borrowing conditions and recovery in loan growth [6] Group 5: Future Outlook - With rising working capital requirements, fading IPO-related effects, and robust economic activity, India's credit growth is projected to rebound in the coming quarters [7]