12月1日白银晚评:聚焦今晚ISM制造业数据 银价试图收于57美元上方
Jin Tou Wang·2025-12-01 09:23

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in the US dollar is supporting silver prices, with expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve influencing market sentiment [3]. Group 1: Silver Price Movement - As of December 1, 2025, the spot silver price is at $57.24 per ounce, with a daily range between $56.15 and $57.86 [1][2]. - The silver price opened at $56.32 per ounce [1]. Group 2: Economic Indicators and Federal Reserve Expectations - The upcoming ISM manufacturing PMI report is anticipated to impact market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [3]. - There is an increased betting on a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, with a probability of 87.4% for this outcome [3]. - The market is also pricing in a 67.5% chance of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by January 2026 [3]. Group 3: Technical Analysis of Silver - The silver price remains significantly above the 100-day EMA of $45.60, indicating a strong bullish trend [4]. - The RSI is at 73.47, suggesting an overbought condition, which may lead to a potential consolidation phase [4]. - Initial support for a price pullback is identified at the Bollinger Band midline near $51.29, with further support at $51.04 if the first level fails [4].