Core Viewpoint - The article discusses potential shorting opportunities in the tech sector, particularly focusing on AI-related stocks, as concerns grow over their high valuations and sustainability of growth driven by AI spending [2][4]. Company Summaries Super Micro Computer (SMCI) - Super Micro Computer has experienced significant stock volatility, rising from approximately $4 per share in 2022 to over $120 per share in 2024, but is now trading around $35 per share after a recent decline [5][6]. - The company faces margin compression due to rising costs and intense competition, leading to stagnant stock performance year-to-date compared to other AI stocks [6]. - Investors are advised to consider shorting SMCI if there are material spikes in its stock price, as its market share generation may be declining [6]. Palantir (PLTR) - Palantir's stock is currently trading at over 200 times earnings, raising significant valuation concerns, especially highlighted by investor Michael Burry [3][8]. - Despite reporting high revenue growth and adjusted operating margins, the sustainability of Palantir's growth is questioned, particularly with potential reductions in U.S. government spending under a Republican administration [8]. - The stock is viewed as a sell due to its inflated valuation and concerns about future growth prospects [8]. Oracle (ORCL) - Oracle's stock has tripled in value over the past five years, driven by substantial revenue and earnings growth [10]. - However, there are doubts about the profitability of Oracle's AI deals, particularly with companies like OpenAI, as these partnerships have yet to yield expected cash flows [10]. - The article suggests that Oracle's valuation may be overstated based on its AI initiatives, and the company may be better valued based solely on its core software business [9][10].
If This AI Theme Really Deteriorates, These Are the 3 Stocks to Short