Ulta Beauty(US:ULTA) ZACKS·2025-12-01 15:16Core Insights - Ulta Beauty (ULTA) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $4.51 per share, a decline of 12.3% year-over-year, with revenues projected at $2.71 billion, reflecting a 7.3% increase compared to the previous year [1] Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 0.5% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2] - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and are linked to short-term stock performance [3] Key Metrics Projections - Analysts predict that the total number of stores open at the end of the quarter will reach 1,494, up from 1,437 in the same quarter last year [5] - The total gross square footage is estimated to be 15,505 million square feet, compared to 15,021 million square feet in the same quarter last year [5] - The number of stores opened during the quarter is expected to be 20, down from 28 in the same quarter last year [6] - Net sales per average total square footage is projected to be $177.01, an increase from $168.44 in the same quarter last year [6] Sales by Category - Net sales by primary category for services are expected to remain at 4.0%, consistent with the previous year [7] - Net sales by primary category for fragrance is projected to be 10.5%, up from 10.0% in the same quarter last year [8] - Haircare net sales are expected to reach 19.5%, slightly down from 20.0% in the previous year [8] - Cosmetics net sales are forecasted at 40.8%, a slight decrease from 41.0% in the same quarter last year [9] Stock Performance - Ulta shares have increased by 3.7% over the past month, contrasting with a -0.5% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite, indicating a potential outperformance in the near future [9]