Core Insights - Retail sales in September totaled $733.3 billion, increasing 0.2% month-over-month and 4.3% year-over-year, although falling short of the expected 0.4% rise [3][9] - The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates twice since September, with expectations for another cut in December, which is favorable for the retail sector [5] - The holiday season is anticipated to boost retail sales, with significant online spending observed during Black Friday [6][7] Retail Sector Performance - Retail sales growth has been steady despite inflationary pressures, with a total increase of 4.5% year-over-year from July to September [3] - The rise in retail sales in September followed a 0.6% increase in August, but was impacted by a struggling labor market and high unemployment rates [4] - Online sales on Black Friday reached a record $11.8 billion, up 9.1% year-over-year, indicating strong consumer spending trends [6][7] Investment Opportunities - Recommended retail stocks with strong online presence include Amazon.com, Boot Barn Holdings, Tapestry, and Ross Stores, all carrying a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [2] - Amazon.com has an expected earnings growth rate of 29.7% for the current year, with a 4.8% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 60 days [10] - Boot Barn Holdings has an expected earnings growth rate of 20.5%, with a 6.9% increase in earnings estimates over the past 60 days [12] - Tapestry's expected earnings growth rate is 10.4%, with a 3.3% improvement in earnings estimates [14] - Ross Stores has a modest expected earnings growth rate of 0.63%, with a 2.7% increase in earnings estimates [16]
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