透视154个国家，南都发布湾区制造业国际竞争力指数报告

Core Insights - The "Belt and Road" Bay Area Manufacturing International Competitiveness Index Report was released, highlighting the competitive advantages of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA) manufacturing sector in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative [1][3] Group 1: Economic Performance - The GBA's manufacturing import and export total is projected to reach 5.68 trillion yuan in 2024, reflecting an 8.5% year-on-year growth, underscoring its role as a significant engine of China's openness [6] - The GBA's GDP is expected to exceed 14 trillion yuan in 2024, positioning it among the top global bay areas [4] Group 2: Competitive Analysis - The report employs a "four-dimensional evaluation model" based on 130,000 customs data entries and WTO databases, utilizing four core indicators: RCA index, TC index, TCI index, and MS index to assess the GBA's manufacturing competitiveness [4] - The RCA index indicates that the GBA's five major export products—automatic data processing equipment, electronic components, electrical equipment, household appliances, and textiles—have a significant comparative advantage, with RCA values exceeding 1 [6] Group 3: Market Opportunities - The GBA's manufacturing exports are heavily concentrated in five key products, which account for over 50% of total exports, with high-tech products making up nearly 50% of this share [6] - The TCI index reveals substantial cooperation potential with ASEAN, Middle East, and African markets, particularly with countries like Russia and Brazil for household appliances, and Indonesia and Vietnam for electronic components [6][7] Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - The report suggests enhancing local operations in high-complementarity markets such as ASEAN, particularly in Vietnam and Indonesia, while also managing political risks in the Middle East and Africa [7] - It emphasizes the importance of Hong Kong's role as a trade hub, noting that over one-third of GBA products are re-exported through Hong Kong, which can help reduce trade costs by 10%-15% [7] - Recommendations for high-quality development include promoting "institutional opening" at the government level and encouraging data-driven, precise market entry strategies at the enterprise level [7][8]