Why FedEx (FDX) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again

Core Insights - FedEx is positioned to potentially continue its earnings-beat streak in the upcoming report, particularly within the Zacks Transportation - Air Freight and Cargo industry [1] - The company has a history of beating earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 3.65% over the last two quarters [1] Earnings Performance - For the last reported quarter, FedEx achieved earnings of $3.83 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.65 per share, resulting in a surprise of 4.93% [2] - In the previous quarter, FedEx was expected to post earnings of $5.93 per share but delivered $6.07 per share, yielding a surprise of 2.36% [2] Earnings Estimates - Recent estimates for FedEx have been trending upward, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [4] - The current Earnings ESP for FedEx is +1.19%, reflecting increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [7] Zacks Rank and Predictive Power - FedEx holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), which, when combined with the positive Earnings ESP, suggests a high probability of another earnings beat [7] - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have historically produced a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time [5] Upcoming Earnings Report - FedEx's next earnings report is anticipated to be released on December 18, 2025 [7]