美制造业PMI持续萎缩，降息预期升温，金价上涨再获支撑

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the rising expectations for interest rate cuts due to weak manufacturing data and increased probability of Hassett's election, leading to fluctuations in gold prices [1] - The ISM manufacturing PMI for November in the U.S. is reported at 48.2, marking the largest contraction in four months and remaining below the neutral line of 50 for nine consecutive months [1] - New orders index has dropped to its fastest contraction since July, while backlog orders have seen the largest decline in seven months, indicating a further downturn in overall manufacturing sentiment [1] Group 2 - The CME "FedWatch" tool indicates an 87.6% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, reflecting market expectations for more easing measures [1] - Analysts note that the acceleration in the contraction of U.S. manufacturing in November, along with significant declines in supplier deliveries, new orders, and employment, supports the bullish outlook for gold and silver prices [1] - The PMI has decreased by 0.5 percentage points, reinforcing the trend of weakening economic data and dovish signals from Federal Reserve officials [1]