比特币录得3月来最大单日跌幅，10亿美元杠杆头寸被迫清仓，加密货币凛冬将至？

Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency market is facing significant downturns, with concerns of a new winter emerging as major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, experience substantial price drops and forced liquidations of leveraged positions [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On October 1, Bitcoin fell over 6%, marking its largest single-day drop since March, and has decreased more than 30% from its peak of over $126,000 earlier in October [3]. - Ethereum and Solana also saw declines of 7.6% and approximately 8% respectively, with Ethereum down 17% year-to-date [3]. - The MarketVector index, which tracks the top 100 cryptocurrencies, has dropped nearly 70% this year, indicating severe market distress [3]. Group 2: Liquidation and Leverage - The recent sell-off has resulted in nearly $1 billion in leveraged cryptocurrency positions being liquidated on October 1, continuing a trend that began earlier in the month [4]. - Coinglass reported that approximately $19 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated due to market instability, exacerbated by external economic factors [4][5]. - The estimated outstanding leveraged positions in cryptocurrency futures are around $787 billion, with ETF positions at approximately $135 billion, indicating a high level of risk in the market [5]. Group 3: Industry Sentiment - Industry insiders are warning of a potential cryptocurrency winter, with companies like Strategy raising $1.44 billion to ensure they can meet future obligations [6]. - Strategy's CEO indicated that if the company's market value falls below the net asset value of its Bitcoin holdings, they may be forced to sell Bitcoin as a last resort [6]. - The overall sentiment in the market is increasingly pessimistic, with predictions that Bitcoin could drop to $60,000, reflecting a broader trend of risk aversion among investors [7]. Group 4: Economic Influences - Macro-economic concerns, including uncertainty around potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, are contributing to the pressure on cryptocurrency investments [7][8]. - The liquidity-driven adjustments in the market are particularly affecting Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, which are more sensitive to changes in liquidity conditions [8]. - Analysts suggest that as December approaches, attention will shift to global monetary policy, which could further impact cryptocurrency prices [8].