Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-12-02 09:09Market Overview - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3900 points, and the North Shenzhen 50 index also failing to hold above 1400 points, leading to declines in the Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, and Sci-Tech 50 Index [1][2] - The trading volume slightly decreased to 1.61 trillion yuan, with a larger number of stocks declining compared to those that rose [1][2] Sector Performance - The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept stocks saw significant strength towards the market close, with stocks like Ronioushan (000735) hitting the daily limit up just before the market closed [1][4] - The Straits West Coast concept stocks maintained strong performance throughout the day, with several stocks reaching a 20% limit up [1][4] - Active sectors included the Straits West Coast, hotel and catering, Hainan Free Trade, and pharmaceutical commerce, while sectors like electrical manufacturing, energy metals, film and television, and education training saw the largest declines [2] Capital Flow - Communication sector attracted over 3.5 billion yuan in net inflow, while light industry manufacturing and defense industry received over 3 billion yuan and 2.8 billion yuan respectively [3] - Major outflows were observed in the computer sector, with over 4.5 billion yuan leaving, and electrical equipment and non-ferrous metals also experiencing significant outflows [3] Future Outlook - The market is expected to enter a favorable "profit-making effect" window, particularly around the Spring Festival and the Two Sessions, which typically lasts about 20 trading days [3] - Analysts suggest focusing on sectors with growth logic for the upcoming year, particularly in high-growth stocks and industries such as snacks, frozen foods, condiments, and dairy products, which are expected to benefit from seasonal demand [3] Policy Impact - The Hainan Free Trade Port is set to officially start its full island closure on December 18, 2025, with significant tax incentives including zero tariffs on imported goods and reduced corporate and personal income tax rates [7] - The policy is expected to enhance trade and accelerate the development of Hainan as an international tourism consumption center, benefiting related sectors such as tourism, hotels, and retail [7] Investment Recommendations - Analysts recommend focusing on companies within the tourism industry that are likely to benefit from the Hainan Free Trade policies [7] - The Fujian sector is also expected to benefit from policy dividends, industrial upgrades, and cross-strait integration, with a focus on digital economy and AI-related stocks [10]