黄金收评｜金价上涨遇阻，黄金ETF华夏(518850)高位回调跌0.48%

Group 1 - Gold prices experienced a decline, reaching a low of $4,215 before rebounding to around $4,240 per ounce as of the A-share market close [1] - The market is heavily influenced by Trump's upcoming appointment of a new Federal Reserve chair, who is expected to favor low interest rates, which is beneficial for gold [1] - Current market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December have risen significantly, with an 88% probability indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, which is crucial for further gold price increases [1] Group 2 - The upward momentum in gold prices since late November is primarily driven by increasing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and a retreat in the US dollar index [2] - The market anticipates a nearly 90% probability of a rate cut in December, with the dollar index recently falling to around 99 [2] - Short-term gold price performance appears weaker compared to silver, reflecting a recovery in market risk appetite, which may hinder gold price increases [2]