联合国报告:金融波动可能危及全球贸易 使全球经济“濒临危机”
Yang Shi Xin Wen Ke Hu Duan·2025-12-02 19:11

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that global economic growth is expected to slow down to 2.6% in 2025, down from 2.9% in 2024, highlighting the significant impact of financial markets on global trade [1] - The report emphasizes that over 90% of global trade relies on bank financing, indicating a deep dependence on financial channels that tightly connect trade and the global financial environment [1] - Changes in interest rates in major financial centers or fluctuations in investor sentiment can significantly affect global trade volumes, underscoring the interconnectedness of finance and trade [1] Group 2 - Developing economies face increasing pressures due to limited roles in global financial markets, leading to higher financing costs and vulnerability to capital flow volatility [2] - The report points out that geopolitical dynamics and policy shifts are reshaping globalization, necessitating adjustments in the financial system to better serve the needs of the real economy [2] - Climate-related financial risks are becoming more pronounced, further constraining the fiscal and investment space required for sustaining growth in developing economies [2]