据CME“美联储观察”，美联储12月降息25个基点的概率为89.2%，维持利率不变的概率为10.8%

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that there is a high probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, estimated at 89.2% [1] - The probability of maintaining the current interest rate is significantly lower, at 10.8% [1]