Michael Saylor's Strategy Has Been a Major Bitcoin Buyer. Is the Company About to Sell From Its Stockpile?

Core Insights - Strategy's executive chairman Michael Saylor, a prominent bitcoin advocate, has led the company in accumulating bitcoin, but recent statements from CEO Phong Le indicate a potential shift towards selling bitcoin under certain conditions [2][5][7]. Company Strategy - Strategy has not sold any bitcoin since establishing its bitcoin treasury in August 2020, but the CEO's recent comments suggest that selling could occur if the company's stock market capitalization falls below the net asset value of its bitcoin holdings [7][9]. - The company's stock has decreased by 60% since reaching a record high in July, bringing its market cap close to the value of its bitcoin holdings, which could trigger a sale [4][7]. Market Impact - If Strategy sells its bitcoin, it could negatively affect the broader crypto market and lead to a further decline in bitcoin prices [5][8]. - The company's "mNAV" metric, which compares the market value of its shares to the value of its bitcoin holdings, is currently at 1.01, indicating a precarious position [5]. Recent Developments - Despite the potential for selling, Strategy recently purchased an additional 130 bitcoin, increasing its total holdings to 650,000, valued at approximately $59 billion [9]. - The company has set aside $1.44 billion for dividends and interest payments, while also updating its 2025 earnings guidance to reflect a lower expected bitcoin price range of $85,000 to $110,000 [9].