Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-02 23:37Core Viewpoint - The report from Huatai Securities indicates an expectation of increased new RMB loans and social financing in November compared to the same period last year, despite weak demand for real economy financing [1] Group 1: New RMB Loans - It is anticipated that new RMB loans will reach approximately 600 billion yuan in November, showing a year-on-year increase compared to the same month last year [1] - The year-on-year growth rate of new RMB loans is expected to remain steady at 6.5%, consistent with October's figures [1] Group 2: Social Financing - New social financing is projected to be around 2.33 trillion yuan in November, also reflecting a year-on-year increase [1] - The stock of social financing is expected to maintain a year-on-year growth rate of 8.5%, unchanged from October [1] Group 3: M2 Growth - M2 is expected to rise to a year-on-year growth rate of 8.4%, up from 8.2% in October [1] Group 4: Government Bond Issuance - The pace of government bond issuance is expected to moderately decline, with an estimated issuance scale of about 1.1 trillion yuan, which is a decrease of 208.9 billion yuan year-on-year [1] Group 5: Policy and Economic Impact - Despite a continued accommodative policy stance, the demand for real economy financing remains weak [1] - As of the end of October, 500 billion yuan of policy financial tools have been fully deployed, with the impact on infrastructure and key projects expected to gradually manifest in the fourth quarter and early next year, providing ongoing support for credit and social financing [1]