投资圈“炸锅”，知名经济学家洪灏：已在4500美元高位清仓黄金，泡沫必破！

Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by economist Hong Hao about selling gold at $4,500 per ounce has sparked significant controversy, as this price point has not been observed in mainstream market data, raising questions about the validity of his claims [1][14]. Group 1: Market Reaction and Controversy - Hong Hao's declaration of selling gold at $4,500 has led to a market "earthquake," with many investors noting that this price has never appeared in market data, as even the $4,400 threshold was not breached [4][17]. - Despite the backlash, Hong Hao defended his position by stating he was trading in "gold futures," but this did not quell the skepticism surrounding his claims [4][17]. - Investigations into historical data from the COMEX revealed that certain non-mainstream contracts did reach prices above $4,500, which could provide some support for Hong's statement [8][21]. Group 2: Trading Data and Analysis - Analysis of the COMEX gold futures data indicated that the 2608 contract did indeed see prices above $4,500 on specific dates, suggesting a potential basis for Hong's claims [22][24]. - However, the low trading volume and liquidity of these non-mainstream contracts raise doubts about the feasibility of executing large trades at those high prices, indicating that such transactions may not be representative of broader market activity [10][24]. - The main trading contract, 2602, had a historical high of $4,433, which further complicates the narrative around Hong's $4,500 exit point [24]. Group 3: Business Ventures and Impact - Following his departure from Hua Fu International, Hong Hao transitioned to a role at Lianhua Capital and launched a knowledge-sharing platform that has generated approximately 9.9 million yuan in revenue within a month [12][26]. - His platform has attracted over 11,000 members, indicating a strong market demand for his insights, particularly during periods of market volatility [12][26]. - The controversy surrounding his trading claims has not hindered his commercial success, highlighting the intersection of market influence and business acumen in the financial sector [27].