超大规模市场!解锁“十五五”消费增长新引擎

Core Viewpoint - Recent policies aimed at boosting consumption in China are crucial for economic growth, especially amid increasing external uncertainties. The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the importance of enhancing domestic demand and consumption [1][2]. Group 1: Consumption Market Advantages - China's consumption market benefits from a massive scale, with over 1.4 billion people, making it the second-largest consumer market globally and the largest in e-commerce. The retail sales of consumer goods are projected to exceed 48 trillion yuan in 2024 [2][3]. - The potential market demand for companion robots alone is estimated to be nearly 1 trillion yuan, highlighting the vast opportunities within the consumer sector [2]. Group 2: Growth Trends and Innovations - The retail sales of consumer goods have maintained an average annual growth of 5.5% over the past four years, while per capita service consumption expenditure has grown by 9.6% annually [3][4]. - New consumption scenarios, such as immersive experiences in cultural and technological contexts, are emerging as significant drivers of consumer engagement and spending [4][6]. Group 3: Service Consumption and Structural Upgrades - The shift towards service consumption is accelerating, with expectations that the service consumption share will exceed 50% during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, indicating substantial room for growth compared to developed countries [5]. - The government plans to enhance service consumption by relaxing market access and promoting the integration of various service sectors [5]. Group 4: Urban Commercial Revitalization - The "Urban Commercial Quality Improvement Action Plan" aims to revitalize traditional urban commercial areas by creating unique consumption experiences through innovative business models and thematic developments [6][7]. - Examples include the integration of entertainment and shopping, such as small theaters within shopping malls, which enhance customer experience and increase sales [7]. Group 5: Digital Consumption Growth - The digital consumption scale is projected to reach 23.8 trillion yuan in 2024, accounting for 44.2% of total consumer spending, driven by improvements in digital infrastructure and policies [8]. - Continuous efforts to stabilize employment and enhance consumer capacity are essential for sustaining consumption growth and economic development [8].