10月国内光伏装机量环比上涨,储能电芯排产延续增长态势 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-12-03 03:09

Core Viewpoint - The solar and energy storage industry is experiencing mixed production trends, with potential for recovery in production levels due to price rebounds and profit restoration [1][2]. Production - Solar module production has been stable since the second half of 2025, with November production expected to be below 44.5 GW, reflecting a decrease from October [1][2]. - In the battery sector, the production forecast for December 2025 indicates a total of 220 GWh for the Chinese market, a 5.3% increase, with energy storage cells accounting for approximately 35.3% of this total [2]. Pricing - As of November 26, 2025, the price of polysilicon remained stable at 52.00 CNY/kg, while the average price of 183N monocrystalline silicon wafers decreased slightly to 1.20 CNY/piece [3]. - The average price for lithium iron phosphate battery storage systems in October 2025 was 0.5547 CNY/Wh, reflecting a 10% increase from the previous month [3]. Demand - In October 2025, the export value of solar modules was approximately $2.258 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.39%, while cumulative exports from January to October totaled $23.473 billion, a decrease of 4.89% [4]. - Domestic solar installations in October 2025 reached 12.6 GW, a 30.4% increase month-on-month, with cumulative installations for the year at 252.87 GW, a 39.5% year-on-year increase [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on solar and energy storage-related companies, recommending specific stocks such as Sunshine Power, Nandu Power, Tongrun Equipment, Huashengchang, and Shouhang New Energy [5].