特朗普摊牌，黄金却不稳了！

Group 1: Gold Market - Gold experienced a typical profit-taking process, hitting a low of approximately $4164, a decline of about 1.5%, before rebounding to above $4200, closing at $4205.57, with a narrowed decline of 0.6% [1] - Currently, gold is fluctuating around the $4200 mark during the European trading session [1] Group 2: U.S. Stock Market - U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 0.39%, Nasdaq up 0.59%, and S&P 500 up 0.25% [2] - Historically, December is typically a strong month for U.S. stocks, with the S&P 500 averaging over 1% gain since 1950, making it the third-best month of the year [8] Group 3: Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Michael Burry, known as the "Big Short," criticized the Federal Reserve, suggesting that the U.S. does not need it and warning of potential damage caused by the Fed over the past century [3] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December has risen to 89.2% according to CME "FedWatch" [8] - Major investment banks, including Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan, predict a 25 basis point rate cut in December, while a few, like Morgan Stanley and Standard Chartered, expect rates to remain unchanged [7] Group 4: Federal Reserve Chair Nomination - President Trump plans to announce the new Federal Reserve chair nominee in early 2026, with speculation that Kevin Hassett may be the choice [5][6] - The probability of not announcing a new chair by the end of December surged from around 31% to nearly 87% following Trump's comments [5] Group 5: International Affairs - Russian President Putin stated that Russia cannot accept modifications to the U.S. proposed peace plan regarding Ukraine, emphasizing readiness for any sudden conflict [11] - Ukrainian President Zelensky remarked that there are no simple solutions to the Ukraine-Russia peace plan and that Ukraine must be involved in any discussions regarding its future [12]