股价飙涨的热景生物急于寻找第二增长曲线

Core Viewpoint - The company, 热景生物, is significantly increasing its investment in 舜景医药 and 尧景基因, aiming to strengthen its position in the innovative drug sector while facing challenges in its core IVD business [1][4][10]. Investment Plans - 热景生物 plans to invest 371 million yuan in 舜景医药, increasing its stake from 43.18% to 50.23% and gaining control through board restructuring [1][4]. - The company will also invest 24 million yuan in 尧景基因 to enhance its gene technology capabilities [4][14]. - 舜景医药 is set to implement a 40 million yuan equity incentive plan [4]. Stock Performance - Following the announcement of these investment plans, 热景生物's stock price rose by 2.52% to 183.3 yuan per share, with an increase of over 900% since September 2024 [4][13]. - The company's market capitalization reached approximately 16.993 billion yuan [13]. Business Strategy - 热景生物 is pursuing a dual-driven strategy of "diagnostics + innovative drugs," focusing on antibody and nucleic acid drugs [6][7]. - The company aims to counteract the downward pressure in the IVD industry by diversifying into the innovative drug sector [11]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, 热景生物 reported a revenue of 310 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.8%, and a net loss of 109 million yuan, which is a 168.12% increase in losses compared to the previous year [10]. - The company's revenue has significantly declined from 5.14 billion yuan in 2020 to 5.41 million yuan in 2023, with a projected further decline to 5.11 billion yuan in 2024 [10][11]. Challenges in the IVD Industry - The IVD industry is experiencing a downturn due to policy impacts, leading to a 13.94% revenue decline and a 32.20% drop in net profit across the sector [11]. - Over 70% of IVD companies are expected to report losses in 2025, with a cumulative loss exceeding 5.6 billion yuan [11]. R&D and Future Prospects - 舜景医药 is in the early stages of development, with no profitable products yet, but has promising drug candidates like SGC001 for acute myocardial infarction [7][8]. - The company has reduced its R&D investment from 191 million yuan in 2022 to 113 million yuan in 2024, raising concerns about its ability to support innovative drug development [12].