Axsome (AXSM) Up 5.3% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

Core Viewpoint - Axsome Therapeutics reported a wider-than-expected loss in Q3 2025, but revenues surged significantly due to strong sales of its drug Auvelity, raising questions about the sustainability of this positive trend leading up to the next earnings release [2][3][12]. Financial Performance - Axsome incurred a loss of $0.94 per share in Q3 2025, which was wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.82, compared to a loss of $1.34 per share in the same quarter last year [2]. - Total revenues increased by 63% year-over-year to $171 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $164 million, primarily driven by strong Auvelity sales [3][4]. - Net product revenues reached $169.8 million, reflecting a 63.7% year-over-year increase, while royalty revenues totaled $1.2 million [4]. Product Sales Breakdown - Auvelity sales amounted to $136.1 million, marking a 69% year-over-year increase and a 14% sequential increase, with approximately 209,000 prescriptions recorded, a 46% increase year-over-year [5]. - Sunosi's net product sales were $32.8 million, up 35% from the previous year, with total prescriptions growing 12% year-over-year [6]. - Symbravo generated $2.1 million in sales in its first full quarter since launch [6]. Expenses and Cash Position - Research and development expenses decreased by 11.5% year-over-year to $40.2 million, attributed to the completion of label expansion studies for Sunosi [7]. - Selling, general, and administrative expenses rose by 57.1% year-over-year to $150.2 million due to increased commercial activities for Auvelity and ongoing launch activities for Symbravo [7]. - As of September 30, 2025, Axsome had cash and cash equivalents of $325.3 million, up from $303 million as of June 30, 2025 [8]. Market Sentiment and Estimates - Recent estimates for Axsome have trended downward, with a consensus estimate shift of -23.81% [9]. - The stock has a Growth Score of A but lags in Momentum with an F, resulting in an aggregate VGM Score of C [11]. - Axsome holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expectations for an in-line return in the coming months [12]. Industry Comparison - Axsome operates within the Zacks Medical - Biomedical and Genetics industry, where Gilead Sciences reported revenues of $7.77 billion, reflecting a 3% year-over-year increase [13]. - Gilead's expected earnings for the current quarter indicate a -2.1% change from the previous year, with a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of A [14].