Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-12-03 23:01Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in tin prices is driven by supply constraints and positive macroeconomic expectations, with the main contract reaching a new high since May 2022, reflecting a cumulative increase of 23.3% since June 2023 [2][3]. Supply Side - Tin prices are supported by tight supply, particularly due to slow recovery in Myanmar's Wa State tin mines and low export volumes [2]. - The global tin supply is expected to face increasing disruptions, with Southeast Asian tin-producing countries tightening policies, leading to a scarcity of tin resources [3][4]. Demand Side - The demand for tin is primarily driven by emerging sectors, particularly the semiconductor and consumer electronics industries, which are experiencing growth. The global semiconductor sales are projected to reach $627.6 billion in 2024, a 19.1% increase from 2023 [3]. - Tin solder demand in semiconductor packaging, which accounts for 65% of tin consumption, is expected to grow at a rate of 5% to 7% by 2025 [3]. Market Performance - The average price of tin reached 309,700 yuan/ton on December 3, 2023, marking a 5-day streak above the 300,000 yuan threshold [2]. - Tin concept stocks have seen significant price increases, with an average rise of 113.08% this year. Notable performers include Xingye Silver Tin, Shengtun Mining, and Huaxi Nonferrous, with increases of 226.33%, 160.32%, and 118.87% respectively [4]. Financial Performance - Seven listed companies in the tin industry reported a combined net profit of 43.314 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2023, a year-on-year increase of 47.47% [4]. - Zijin Mining reported a net profit of 37.864 billion yuan, a 55.45% increase year-on-year, with tin reserves totaling 123,200 tons [4][5]. - Xiyang Tin achieved a net profit of 1.745 billion yuan, a 35.99% increase year-on-year, maintaining the largest market share in global tin production [5]. Institutional Attention - Five tin concept stocks have received institutional ratings, with Zijin Mining and Xiyang Tin receiving the highest number of ratings at 25 and 17 respectively [5].