不锈钢：盘面窄幅震荡 基本面压力未有明显改善

Core Viewpoint - The stainless steel market is experiencing stable prices with a slight downward trend in raw material costs, while supply pressures remain high due to production levels and weak demand [1][2][3] Supply - In October, the crude steel output from 43 domestic stainless steel mills reached 3.5138 million tons, an increase of 87,100 tons month-on-month, representing a growth of 2.54% [2] - November's planned production is 455,100 tons, a month-on-month decrease of 1.67% but a year-on-year increase of 4.1% [2] - The 300 series output remains high despite some mills reducing production to stabilize prices, primarily affecting the 200 series [2][3] Inventory - Social inventory is not decreasing effectively, with a slight increase in inventory levels reported [2] - As of November 28, the social inventory for the 300 series in Wuxi and Foshan was 502,400 tons, a week-on-week increase of 9,500 tons [2] - Stainless steel futures inventory was 62,337 tons as of December 3, a week-on-week decrease of 1,428 tons [2] Market Dynamics - The stainless steel market is experiencing narrow fluctuations, with stable mainstream prices in the Wuxi and Foshan regions [3] - The nickel market remains stable, with Philippine mines fulfilling previous orders and Indonesian domestic prices declining slightly [3] - The overall market sentiment is weak due to limited demand from downstream sectors such as home appliances and construction, leading to low inventory depletion [3] Price Trends - The main trading range for stainless steel is expected to be between 12,300 and 12,700, with limited upward momentum due to weak demand and cost support [3]