“鸽派”阵营狂欢 国际白银借势冲高

Core Viewpoint - International silver prices are experiencing fluctuations, with recent data supporting a bullish outlook due to expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1][2] Group 1: Market Data - As of Thursday, international silver prices are reported at $58.54 per ounce, with a peak of $58.75 and a low of $58.28 during the trading session [1] - The ADP employment report for November indicated a decrease of 32,000 jobs, contrasting with market expectations of an increase of 40,000 jobs, which has heightened the significance of this data [1] - The market anticipates an 89% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the upcoming FOMC meeting [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Following the ADP data release, international silver prices reached a historical high of $58.98 before retreating to close at $58.45 per ounce [2] - Despite a dip to a daily low of $57.54, the upward trend in silver prices remains intact, although a "moderate divergence" between price movements and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) may indicate a potential pullback [2] - If a pullback occurs, the initial support area is projected to be between $53.80 and $54.00, with further testing of the 50-day moving average at $50.25 [2] - Conversely, a strong buying momentum that breaks through the $59.00 level could target $60.00, potentially setting new historical highs [2]