降息预期居高不下 白银T+D多头惨遭绞杀

Core Viewpoint - Silver T+D prices are experiencing a significant decline, with a daily drop of 2.00%, indicating a bearish trend in the short term [1] Market Expectations - The market maintains high expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, with the CME FedWatch tool indicating an 89% probability for a rate cut in the upcoming meeting [1] - Major brokerage firms anticipate that the FOMC will ease policies in this meeting, supported by the recent ADP employment report showing a decrease of 32,000 private sector jobs in November, the largest drop in two and a half years [1] Economic Indicators - Investors are closely monitoring the upcoming release of the U.S. September core personal consumption expenditures price index, a preferred inflation indicator for the Federal Reserve, which could influence monetary policy outlook [1] - Key economic data to watch includes the number of Challenger job cuts in November, initial jobless claims for the week ending November 29, and the global supply chain pressure index for November, which are expected to be favorable for silver prices based on the ADP report and market expectations [1] Silver T+D Market Analysis - In the short term, silver T+D is likely to adjust, with resistance levels identified between 13,850 and 14,000, and support levels between 12,500 and 13,000 [1]